Sabah vs Araz PFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
8º
5º
43
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 58 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 19% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
1.5% | 47% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
21% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sabah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 2
SFK
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 4
SFK
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 2
TUR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 3
SFK
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SFK
3 - 1
SUM
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 2
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 2
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
FCK
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
FKN
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |