Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 6-3
CE Sabadell vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
LLE
1 - 1
SAB
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
SAB
3 - 1
SEV
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ALC
3 - 0
SAB
60%
20%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAB
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SAB
1 - 2
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
LLE
1 - 1
SAB
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
CON
4 - 2
LLE
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
LLE
2 - 0
CDC
63%
18%
19%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
TOR
2 - 4
LLE
59%
19%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
REU
1 - 2
LLE
49%
22%
29%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |