Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 6-4
CE Sabadell vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
SSC
0 - 0
SAB
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1990 |
MER
1 - 1
SAB
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
FIG
3 - 0
SAB
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
SAB
1 - 0
AVI
59%
26%
16%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
DEP
4 - 2
SAB
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
MER
3 - 2
GRA
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
TEL
1 - 1
MER
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1990 |
MER
1 - 1
SAB
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
CCF
3 - 1
MER
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1990 |
MER
4 - 2
CPC
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |