CE Sabadell vs SD Ibiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
11º
5º
25
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 41 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 39 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 33 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
42% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 20 |
18º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
52% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AND
3 - 5
SAB
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 0
RCD
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TCF
0 - 0
SAB
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 0
COR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HOS
0 - 0
SAB
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SD Ibiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IBI
0 - 1
UES
31%
26%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
IBI
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IBI
0 - 0
LLE
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PXD
1 - 0
IBI
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MLL
0 - 2
IBI
34%
24%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |