Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-2
CE Sabadell vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1944 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAB
67%
18%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
MLL
1 - 0
SAB
29%
23%
48%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SAB
6 - 2
MLL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
DEP
0 - 4
SAB
56%
21%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
SAB
3 - 2
FCB
28%
23%
49%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1944 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAB
67%
18%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
ALC
3 - 2
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALC
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
RSO
2 - 3
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 2
ATM
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |