1. FC Saarbrücken vs Werder Bremen analysis

1. FC Saarbrücken Werder Bremen
48 ELO 51
9.2% Tilt 6%
343º General ELO ranking 56º
28º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
61.7%
1. FC Saarbrücken
18.2%
Draw
20.1%
Werder Bremen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
20.1%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Saarbrücken
-3%
+11%
Werder Bremen

ELO progression

1. FC Saarbrücken
Werder Bremen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 1961
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
5 - 1
Saar Saarbrücken
SAA
81%
11%
7%
49 36 13 0
16 Apr. 1961
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 3
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
37%
24%
39%
48 35 13 +1
09 Apr. 1961
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
5 - 0
TuS Neuendorf
TUN
80%
12%
8%
48 37 11 0
26 Mar. 1961
TUL
Tura Ludwigshafen
1 - 2
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
44%
23%
34%
47 37 10 +1
19 Mar. 1961
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 1
Sportfreunde Saarbrücken
SSF
75%
14%
11%
47 40 7 0

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 1961
BRE
Werder Bremen
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel
HOL
83%
11%
6%
50 44 6 0
23 Apr. 1961
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 0
Werder Bremen
BRE
69%
16%
15%
50 55 5 0
09 Apr. 1961
LUB
VfB Lübeck
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
37%
23%
40%
51 39 12 -1
03 Apr. 1961
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
HSV
33%
23%
44%
49 72 23 +2
01 Apr. 1961
TBR
TuS Bremerhaven 93
1 - 4
Werder Bremen
BRE
42%
22%
36%
49 38 11 0