1. FC Saarbrücken vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
WUP
3 - 1
SAA
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
SAA
1 - 1
ERK
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAA
50%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
PRE
1 - 2
SAA
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
SAA
4 - 0
SAL
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
RWA
2 - 0
BOR
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
BAY
0 - 0
RWA
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
EIN
3 - 1
RWA
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
RWA
2 - 2
VER
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
RWA
1 - 1
WUP
60%
21%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |