1. FC Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis

1. FC Saarbrücken Rot-Weiss Erfurt
56 ELO 58
0.6% Tilt 1.8%
345º General ELO ranking 2649º
28º Country ELO ranking 94º
ELO win probability
48.6%
1. FC Saarbrücken
24.9%
Draw
26.5%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.5%
Win probability
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Saarbrücken
-1%
+31%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt

ELO progression

1. FC Saarbrücken
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2004
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 1
Schweinfurt
SCH
50%
24%
26%
56 52 4 0
29 May. 2004
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
47%
26%
27%
56 58 2 0
22 May. 2004
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
3 - 1
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
48%
25%
27%
56 56 0 0
15 May. 2004
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 0
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
36%
27%
37%
56 51 5 0
08 May. 2004
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
1 - 1
Stuttgart II
STU
55%
23%
21%
57 50 7 -1

Matches

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2004
VFR
VfR Aalen
4 - 1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
42%
25%
32%
58 53 5 0
29 May. 2004
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
47%
26%
27%
58 56 2 0
22 May. 2004
SCH
Schweinfurt
1 - 1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
43%
25%
32%
58 54 4 0
14 May. 2004
FEU
Feucht SC
1 - 1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
43%
25%
32%
58 53 5 0
07 May. 2004
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2 - 0
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
46%
26%
28%
57 57 0 +1