1. FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
FCN
1 - 2
SAA
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
SAA
3 - 0
HAN
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
HER
4 - 3
SAA
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
SAA
2 - 2
HES
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
ROT
1 - 2
SAA
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1984 |
MSV
2 - 2
KÖL
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
MSV
0 - 1
SVS
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
KÖL
0 - 0
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
MSV
2 - 1
SCF
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
BUR
7 - 2
MSV
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |