1. FC Saarbrücken vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
SCF
0 - 0
SAA
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
SAA
1 - 0
HAN
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1990 |
VFB
0 - 1
SAA
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1990 |
SAA
4 - 1
PRE
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1990 |
HOM
0 - 0
SAA
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
M05
1 - 1
DAR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
ROT
2 - 0
M05
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1990 |
M05
1 - 3
KÖL
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
M05
2 - 1
MEP
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
SCF
2 - 1
M05
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |