1. FC Saarbrücken vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AST
3 - 6
SAA
13%
18%
69%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAA
2 - 0
ELV
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HOM
2 - 1
SAA
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAA
4 - 1
WWO
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OFC
1 - 1
SAA
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
FSV
0 - 0
MAI
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAI
1 - 1
HES
74%
17%
10%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
HOF
3 - 0
MAI
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
MAI
4 - 1
ULM
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MAI
2 - 3
STU
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |