1. FC Saarbrücken vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1997 |
ROT
2 - 1
SAA
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
SAA
1 - 0
SCF
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
SAA
0 - 1
EIN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
BSC
0 - 2
SAA
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
GET
2 - 2
SAA
22%
24%
55%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1997 |
HOM
0 - 0
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1997 |
SAL
1 - 4
HOM
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
HOM
3 - 1
ERK
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
RWA
0 - 0
HOM
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
HOM
0 - 1
GET
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |