DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 3-5
1. FC Saarbrücken vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
SAA
2 - 3
HOM
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
WAL
2 - 1
SAA
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
SGF
2 - 0
SAA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1980 |
SAA
0 - 2
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
TSP
0 - 3
SAA
24%
22%
54%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
FRE
1 - 2
SCF
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
DAR
6 - 3
FRE
72%
16%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
FRE
1 - 1
FSV
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1980 |
WWO
1 - 3
FRE
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
FRE
3 - 1
BOT
90%
7%
3%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |