1. FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1988 |
OFC
1 - 1
SAA
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
SAA
2 - 2
AAA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
BAY
2 - 1
SAA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1988 |
SAA
2 - 1
SCF
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
SAA
2 - 3
OSN
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1988 |
KÖL
2 - 1
OSN
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
USO
3 - 1
KÖL
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ULM
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1988 |
ROT
0 - 0
KÖL
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
KÖL
3 - 2
BWB
48%
24%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |