1. FC Saarbrücken vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAA
0 - 1
SVS
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAA
21%
24%
54%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAA
3 - 0
SWI
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 2
SAA
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STU
1 - 2
SAA
16%
19%
65%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 1
S04
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
3 - 2
FCN
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 0
JUV
13%
23%
65%
|
72 | 96 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BBU
1 - 2
FCN
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
FCN
32%
23%
45%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |