1. FC Saarbrücken vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis

1. FC Saarbrücken SpVgg Erkenschwick
57 ELO 45
4.1% Tilt 18.8%
526º General ELO ranking 7173º
31º Country ELO ranking 272º
ELO win probability
67.8%
1. FC Saarbrücken
19.9%
Draw
12.4%
SpVgg Erkenschwick

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.4%
Win probability
SpVgg Erkenschwick
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Saarbrücken
-3%
+38%
SpVgg Erkenschwick

ELO progression

1. FC Saarbrücken
SpVgg Erkenschwick
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 1998
RWA
Rot Weiss Ahlen
2 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
38%
25%
37%
57 52 5 0
08 Mar. 1998
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
1 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
62%
22%
17%
57 50 7 0
28 Feb. 1998
SPO
Siegen Sportfreunde
2 - 0
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
41%
25%
34%
58 55 3 -1
14 Feb. 1998
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
1 - 0
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
61%
21%
17%
58 50 8 0
14 Dec. 1997
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
4 - 1
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
61%
21%
18%
57 49 8 +1

Matches

SpVgg Erkenschwick
SpVgg Erkenschwick
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 1998
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
0 - 1
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
ROT
32%
26%
42%
46 60 14 0
07 Mar. 1998
SAL
Salmrohr
1 - 1
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
48%
26%
27%
47 43 4 -1
01 Mar. 1998
FCR
FC Remscheid
1 - 1
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
46%
27%
27%
47 45 2 0
15 Feb. 1998
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
1 - 3
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
47%
24%
29%
48 52 4 -1
01 Feb. 1998
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
4 - 1
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
50%
25%
25%
49 48 1 -1
X