DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 4-10
Saar Saarbrücken vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saar Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1988 |
BIT
1 - 3
SAA
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
HOL
5 - 0
SAA
84%
10%
5%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +8 |
| 07 Aug. 1977 |
WAB
1 - 1
SAA
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1977 |
SAA
0 - 0
WAB
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
SAA
1 - 6
EIN
7%
11%
82%
|
35 | 85 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1988 |
WAT
0 - 1
S04
56%
22%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
S04
4 - 0
BAY
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
M05
2 - 2
S04
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
S04
3 - 1
USO
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
KÖL
1 - 2
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |