Saar Saarbrücken vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
10.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saar Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
PHO
3 - 0
SAA
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
VFR
2 - 2
SAA
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
SAA
2 - 0
TUN
82%
11%
8%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
SSF
2 - 3
SAA
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
SAA
3 - 3
PIR
45%
22%
32%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
M05
4 - 3
WWO
66%
18%
17%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
TUN
3 - 4
M05
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
M05
4 - 2
SSF
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
PIR
4 - 1
M05
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
M05
1 - 1
VFR
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |