SA Mérignac U19 vs Concarneau U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
10º
23
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 4
LAV
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VER
0 - 1
SAM
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
AVR
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
SAM
47%
21%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
BOR
41%
23%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Concarneau U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ANG
5 - 3
CON
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
LAV
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CON
4 - 0
VER
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 2
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |