SA Mérignac U19 vs Châteauroux U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
10º
26
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 0
SAM
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOR
29%
21%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
SAM
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAN
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +6 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
SAM
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Châteauroux U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 3
LAV
30%
23%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
CHA
36%
24%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVR
33%
24%
43%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
CON
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |