SAG Cestas vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
81.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAG Cestas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
SAG
2 - 1
POI
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
AVI
0 - 0
SAG
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAG
3 - 0
MON
31%
23%
47%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ANG
7 - 0
SAG
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SAG
0 - 3
LEG
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
FBB
1 - 2
CHO
33%
25%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 4
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ANN
3 - 0
CHO
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 1
ORL
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
RED
4 - 2
CHO
46%
27%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |