Sūduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
9º
7º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 0
SUD
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 3
SUD
4%
9%
87%
|
63 | 13 | 50 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 2
FAS
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
HLI
6 - 0
SUD
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 0
SUD
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 1
KZA
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AFK
0 - 6
ZAL
3%
9%
88%
|
76 | 7 | 69 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
ZAL
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 2
ZAL
10%
20%
70%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 2
ZAL
8%
19%
73%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |