Lithuanian Cup Final
Global 2-2
Sūduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
KRU
2 - 1
SUD
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
SUD
6 - 0
ATL
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 1
SUD
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ZAL
1 - 0
SUD
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SUD
3 - 1
DAI
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
ZAL
23%
28%
50%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 2
ZAL
30%
30%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FKT
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ZAL
1 - 0
SUD
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FKE
1 - 0
ZAL
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |