Sūduva vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
10º
10º
36
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 77 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 66 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 59 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 46 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 46 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 45 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 42 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 41 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
48.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 0
SUD
28%
26%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
SUD
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 1
DAI
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DTE
1 - 0
SUD
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 0
PAN
20%
28%
53%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 1
DAI
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 0
HLI
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HLI
4 - 2
PAN
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HLI
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 2
FAS
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |