Sūduva vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
9º
7º
59
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 1
SUD
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 0
TRA
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
SUD
23%
25%
51%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
DAI
2 - 1
SUD
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
NEP
0 - 2
SUD
23%
21%
56%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 3
HLI
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 0
DAI
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 1
ZAL
29%
26%
46%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
HLI
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 4
HLI
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |