Sūduva vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
9º
7º
59
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 4
KZA
32%
28%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 1
FAS
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 0
FKT
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 0
BFC
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SUD
4 - 1
GKA
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HLI
3 - 0
DAI
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HLI
6 - 1
BFC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 1
BFC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 0
TRA
49%
24%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 2
HLI
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |