Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Sūduva vs FK Spartaks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FKS
0 - 1
SUD
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SUD
3 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SUD
0 - 2
CRV
31%
25%
43%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
CRV
3 - 0
SUD
63%
20%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
APO
1 - 0
SUD
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FK Spartaks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FKS
0 - 1
SUD
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
FKS
42%
25%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 3
FKS
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
FKS
4 - 3
FSM
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
FKS
6 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |