Japan Football League 2nd Phase Final
Global 2-3
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SON
2 - 0
RKD
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
RKD
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MIO
1 - 2
RKD
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
RKD
37%
23%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 2
RKD
9%
15%
75%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
URA
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
FCT
2 - 1
HON
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
REA
0 - 4
HON
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HON
4 - 1
OSA
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VAN
0 - 0
HON
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |