Ryūkyū vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ryūkyū
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
HON
4 - 1
RYK
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RYK
3 - 2
ZWE
51%
23%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HON
2 - 3
RYK
38%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
RYK
3 - 2
HOY
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RYK
4 - 2
TOC
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 4
VVA
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
KAM
0 - 1
VVA
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VVA
0 - 0
SAG
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MIO
1 - 4
VVA
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VVA
1 - 0
BLA
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |