Ryūkyū vs Sagawa Shiga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ryūkyū
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
RYK
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
RYK
1 - 0
VVA
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
HON
4 - 1
RYK
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RYK
3 - 2
ZWE
51%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HON
2 - 3
RYK
38%
25%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sagawa Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 0
TOC
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
KAM
0 - 1
SAG
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
SAG
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MIO
2 - 2
SAG
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAG
0 - 1
BLA
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |