Ryūkyū vs Parceiro Nagano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ryūkyū
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
4 - 1
RYK
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
RYK
1 - 2
HON
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ZWE
2 - 3
RYK
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
YOK
2 - 2
RYK
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SON
1 - 1
RYK
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
TOC
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
KAM
0 - 2
PAR
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
SAG
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
SAG
0 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 4
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |