Ryūkyū vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ryūkyū
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
RYK
2 - 1
TMF
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
OSA
0 - 1
RYK
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
RYK
0 - 0
KAM
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GAI
2 - 1
RYK
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
RYK
2 - 1
GAM
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 3
CER
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 1
CER
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CER
1 - 4
VIS
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 0
CER
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |