Rot-Weiss Essen Sub 19 vs MSV Duisburg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SGW
0 - 1
ESS
58%
22%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
ESS
1 - 3
SGW
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
MON
4 - 0
ESS
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
KOL
7 - 1
ESS
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ESS
0 - 2
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DUI
3 - 1
ALA
21%
22%
56%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |