Rot-Weiss Essen U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 3
ESS
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ESS
3 - 3
BOR
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
BON
2 - 1
ESS
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ESS
3 - 1
DUI
80%
13%
6%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SGW
0 - 1
ESS
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 4
ALA
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 4
ARM
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SCH
4 - 0
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 8
BOR
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BON
2 - 1
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -2 |