Rot-Weiss Essen U19 vs B. Dortmund U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
82%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
8º
8º
35
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 16 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 12 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ESS
1 - 1
DUI
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
ESS
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ESS
1 - 4
SCH
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ESS
2 - 3
PRE
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
ESS
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 6
BOR
10%
15%
75%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 1
BOR
30%
20%
50%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 1
PRE
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MEP
1 - 6
BOR
12%
15%
74%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MER
0 - 3
BOR
7%
12%
81%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |