Ruthin Town vs Mold Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
5º
15º
5º
35
2º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruthin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
RTW
2 - 0
LLA
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
RTW
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
RTW
2 - 1
PEN
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RTW
1 - 0
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 4
RTW
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mold Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
MOL
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
2 - 2
POR
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 3
COL
9%
16%
76%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AAA
3 - 1
MOL
38%
22%
41%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 2
HOL
12%
18%
70%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |