Ruswil vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
RUS
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
RUS
1 - 1
BUO
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TAV
3 - 1
RUS
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RUS
1 - 3
GUN
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GCB
1 - 1
RUS
26%
23%
52%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 1
GCB
29%
23%
49%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 3
EMM
46%
23%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 3
HOC
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
IBA
3 - 1
WIL
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |