Ruswil vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 0
RUS
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RUS
3 - 2
GOL
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LUZ
3 - 1
RUS
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
RUS
3 - 1
IBA
30%
23%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 2
HER
24%
22%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
5 - 0
ESC
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 4
FCS
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 0
EMM
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 3
FCS
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 2
FCS
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |