Rustavi vs Mark Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FPT
4 - 6
RUS
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
RUS
7 - 1
SAS
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 2
RUS
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
RUS
0 - 5
BOR
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SOK
0 - 3
RUS
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Mark Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 1
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOR
50%
22%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
SOK
1 - 3
MAR
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
7 - 1
IBE
85%
11%
5%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
MAR
31%
24%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |