Russia U19 vs Wales U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 3
RUS
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
RUS
0 - 0
SVN
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
IRL
3 - 1
RUS
43%
23%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RUS
0 - 1
BGR
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
RUS
0 - 2
BIH
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 1
SVN
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 3
SWE
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
SVN
3 - 2
WAL
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 3
SCO
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 0
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |