Russia U23 vs Lithuania analysis

Russia U23 Lithuania
63 ELO 79
-2.4% Tilt 1.2%
41617º General ELO ranking 3285º
442º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
22.1%
Russia U23
23.9%
Draw
54%
Lithuania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
Russia U23
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54%
Win probability
Lithuania
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Russia U23
Lithuania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Russia U23
Russia U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2011
BLR
Belarus U23
2 - 3
Russia U23
RUS
37%
24%
39%
61 56 5 0
05 Sep. 2011
RUS
Russia U23
0 - 0
Belarus U23
BLR
59%
21%
20%
61 55 6 0

Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2011
LTU
Lithuania
1 - 4
Czech Republic
CZE
17%
26%
57%
79 92 13 0
06 Sep. 2011
SCO
Scotland
1 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
67%
21%
12%
79 89 10 0
02 Sep. 2011
LTU
Lithuania
0 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
77%
16%
7%
79 26 53 0
10 Aug. 2011
LTU
Lithuania
3 - 0
Armenia
ARM
61%
23%
16%
79 71 8 0
07 Jun. 2011
NOR
Norway
1 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
72%
19%
10%
79 91 12 0
X