Russia U21 vs Tajikistan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
AZE
3 - 0
RUS
7%
13%
80%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
RUS
2 - 0
FRO
88%
9%
3%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 4
RUS
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
AUT
4 - 3
RUS
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
FIN
2 - 0
RUS
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Tajikistan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
KAZ
2 - 0
TJK
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
TJK
0 - 2
TUK
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
LTU
1 - 2
TJK
56%
23%
22%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TJK
1 - 3
RSA
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TJK
1 - 0
KAZ
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +5 |