Russia U21 vs Slovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
RUS
1 - 0
ALB
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
GEO
0 - 3
RUS
22%
22%
56%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
RUS
2 - 0
IRL
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2002 |
GER
2 - 1
RUS
64%
20%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
RUS
3 - 3
SUI
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
FRA
5 - 0
SVN
94%
5%
1%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SVN
3 - 0
MLT
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
ITA
0 - 1
SVN
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
SVN
1 - 3
PAR
19%
23%
58%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
RSA
1 - 0
SVN
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |