Russia U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 2
ISR
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
RUS
0 - 0
ALB
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
RUS
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RUS
4 - 1
SWE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 0
BLR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
GRC
2 - 0
POL
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
MDA
2 - 4
POL
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BGR
1 - 0
POL
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 1
MDA
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
POL
4 - 3
ALB
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |