Russia U21 vs Kazakhstan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RUS
0 - 0
KGZ
88%
9%
3%
|
75 | 25 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 1
SVK
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 2
CZE
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
CZE
0 - 2
RUS
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 2
MDA
84%
12%
5%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Kazakhstan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
KGZ
1 - 3
KAZ
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
LVA
1 - 1
KAZ
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
KAZ
0 - 0
LVA
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
KAZ
0 - 3
FRA
10%
19%
72%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
KAZ
5 - 4
MDA
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |