Russia U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
RUS
3 - 0
BIH
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SVN
0 - 4
RUS
23%
22%
54%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
BLR
1 - 1
RUS
43%
25%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
GEO
2 - 0
RUS
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
POL
0 - 1
RUS
39%
23%
38%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
5 - 0
KAZ
82%
14%
5%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
48%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
POL
0 - 2
ESP
25%
26%
50%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
4 - 0
GEO
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | +1 |