National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Rushden & Diamonds vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rushden & Diamonds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
RUS
1 - 1
LUT
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
WRE
0 - 1
RUS
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
MAN
3 - 2
RUS
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
RUS
2 - 0
EBB
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
KID
1 - 1
RUS
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
EAS
1 - 0
OXF
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
OXF
1 - 0
WRE
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
OXF
2 - 0
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
OXF
0 - 0
CAM
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ALT
0 - 1
OXF
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |