Rushden & Diamonds vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rushden & Diamonds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
BCF
1 - 1
RUS
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 0
RUS
64%
23%
14%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
RUS
3 - 0
OXF
38%
28%
35%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
STO
2 - 2
RUS
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
RUS
0 - 2
WRE
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
GRI
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 2
NOT
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
NOT
2 - 2
NOR
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
NOT
2 - 1
STF
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
WYC
2 - 0
NOT
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |