Rushden & Diamonds vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rushden & Diamonds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LUT
0 - 2
RUS
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 2
TAM
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
RUS
0 - 1
ALT
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
RUS
0 - 1
AFC
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CRA
2 - 1
RUS
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
HIN
2 - 0
GAI
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HIN
0 - 0
STA
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BLY
6 - 1
HIN
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
RFC
2 - 3
HIN
33%
26%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HIN
1 - 0
ILK
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |