Runcorn Linnets vs Belper Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 1
RUN
14%
20%
67%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 1
RUN
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
RUN
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RUN
2 - 2
187
74%
16%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RUN
2 - 1
OUF
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
BEL
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
RAD
26%
24%
51%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
GUI
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 1
BEL
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
STI
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |